The story of this market
The typical home in Grayson County, Texas sells for about $284,000, or $185 per square foot.
Prices are down 1.69% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 78 days to sell, which is slow. Over the long run, values in this county have grown 198% since 2000. Last year 13 of 26 neighborhoods saw prices rise, so the story isn't the same street to street. The biggest natural hazard here is ice storm, which FEMA rates relatively high. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,395 a month.
HUD sets the fair market rent for a 2-bedroom at $1,395 a month. FEMA's National Risk Index rates overall hazard risk here as Relatively Moderate.
Price climate
Every year of price change, 2000–2025
-0.2%
2025
Each stripe is one year's median price change across the area's census tracts (FHFA repeat-sales index). Deep blue is a strong gain year, red a falling year. Best: 2022 (+22.5%). Worst: 2010 (-3.9%). Hover to read a year.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+1.1%
TX · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Rent benchmark
Fair market rent by size
$1,932
3-bed / month
HUD Fair Market Rents, fiscal 2027, for this county. A typical rent for a modest unit, used to set housing-voucher payments.
Neighborhood price trend
Long-run price trend, 2000–2025
-0.2%
2025 change
FHFA repeat-sales index, median of 26 census tracts in this county (2000 = 100). Bars are each year's median change.
Natural hazard exposure
The area's risk shape
56
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index. Each spoke is a hazard ranked nationally, where 100 is the most exposed. Expected annual loss: $42,594,155.
Mortgage activity
Home lending in this county
79.7%
2018 approval rate
| Year | Applications | Loans made | Approval | Investor share | Median home value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 6285 | 3243 | 79.7% | 15.2% | $185,000 |
CFPB Home Mortgage Disclosure Act records: every mortgage application reported by lenders for homes in this county. Approval rate is approved ÷ decided (withdrawn and incomplete files excluded). Investor share and home value are the median census tract.
Grayson County, Texas
The Grayson County housing market is experiencing a cooling phase characterized by a year-over-year decline in median listing prices and an increase in the time properties spend on the market. High natural hazard risks and shifting affordability dynamics are contributing to a more cautious outlook for the region.
No ARED distress-ledger coverage for this county yet — the foreclosure ingest rotates the national county directory, and filings appear here once the county's posted notices are read. Key-figure check: median price diverges 21.2% from the nearest retained anchor (published ten-year series (2025)) — beyond the 12.5% tolerance; an automated validation case is open and the value publishes pending its verdict. Validation: the flagged $349,000 (+21.2% vs the published ten-year series (2025)) failed independent re-validation and was reverted to the prior cycle value; the case is under review in the Command Center.
Select a city to expand its ZIP intel reports beneath · 16 cities · 21 ZIP reports
Median prices moved down 8.8% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 82 days on market with 0.1 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
1% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 62.05% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.6% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Deterministic aggregate of 20 researched ZIP reports of 21 — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Grayson County, Texas — researched county-level history with a deterministic 1 / 3 / 5-year projection
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Each property observation weighs one in its ZIP's deterministic roll-up — property-level records (taxes, scores, permits) never roll individually. Latest property research run Oct 7, 2026.
researched Oct 5
researched Oct 6
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 25
researched Sep 25
researched Oct 5
researched Oct 1
researched Oct 6
| 75020 | Denison | $245,000 | $158 | +2.1% | 48 | 97.2% | 12.5% | 4.4 | 185 | $1,350 | researched Oct 5 |
| 75021 | Denison | $265,000 | $168 | -3.6% | 62 | 97.5% | 18% | 4.2 | 119 | $1,350 | researched Oct 6 |
| 75076 | Pottsboro | $372,250 | $200 | +6.4% | 128 | — | — | — | 38 | $1,395 | researched Sep 25 |
| 75090 | Sherman | $231,250 | $163 | -11.7% | 99 | 98.8% | — | — | 413 | $1,395 | researched Sep 25 |
| 75091 | Sherman | $331,750 | $178 | -2.1% | 56 | 97.2% | 18.5% | 4.8 | 371 | $1,650 | researched Sep 25 |
| 75092 | Sherman | $315,000 | $161 | +5.1% | 103 | — | — | — | 111 | $1,800 | researched Sep 25 |
| 75414 | Bells | $355,000 | — | -4.1% | 62 | 97.2% | 12.5% | 4.8 | 48 | $1,395 | researched Sep 25 |
| 75442 | Gunter | $304,927 | $150 | -11.6% | 59 | — | — | — | 83 | $1,900 | researched Oct 5 |
| 75458 | Merit | $285,000 | $105 | -2.2% | 42 | 98.2% | 18.5% | 2.3 | 112 | $1,150 | researched Oct 1 |
| 75459 | Howe | $234,879 | $155 | -24.1% | 78 | — | — | — | 37 | $4,199 | researched Oct 6 |
Figures are each ZIP report's own latest research — the county roll-up aggregates them sales_count-weighted (population fallback); ZIPs cycle quarterly.
Grayson County is classified as having a very high natural hazard risk, with a composite score of 80.3/100 on the FEMA National Risk Index, driven by high exposure to tornadoes, hail, and heat waves.
The county benefits from its proximity to the North Texas metroplex, with economic activity anchored by education and manufacturing sectors.
Property taxes are assessed by the Grayson Central Appraisal District; specific rates are determined by local taxing entities including school districts, the county, and municipalities.
The rental market shows a median asking rent of $1,650 per month, with inventory levels reflecting a contraction in available rental properties.
The economy is supported by higher education institutions and a mix of regional manufacturing and service industries.
The county is served by major highway corridors connecting it to the broader North Texas region.
The Grayson Central Appraisal District is responsible for the appraisal of property for ad valorem tax purposes for all taxing units in the county.
The county is served by various independent school districts and local utility providers.
The county faces high natural hazard risks, which significantly influence the local property insurance climate.
- Schulman’s Movie Bowl Grille4.58.5 mi
- Fairview Park4.74.2 mi
- HeyDay Entertainment Denison4.54.2 mi
- Urban Air Trampoline and Adventure Park4.24.1 mi
- Skatelands of America4.56.4 mi
- WinStar World Casino4.427.1 mi
- Oak Meadow Ranch4.626 mi
- The Grand Theater - Choctaw Casino & Resort4.722.3 mi
- Lucas Oil Live | Entertainment Venue4.526.8 mi
- BarnHill Vineyards4.827.2 mi
- Eisenhower State Park4.68.1 mi
- Schulman’s Movie Bowl Grille4.58.5 mi
- Island View Park4.510.6 mi
- Lake Texoma State Park4.519.8 mi
- Waterloo Park4.76.1 mi
- Choctaw Cultural Center4.922.7 mi
- Eisenhower Birthplace State Historic Site4.68 mi
- Fort Washita Historic Site4.728.2 mi
- Historic Carpenters Bluff Bridge4.714.9 mi
- Perrin AFB Historical Museum4.90.2 mi
- Eisenhower State Park4.68.1 mi
- Island View Park4.510.6 mi
- Texoma Health Foundation Park at Gateway Village4.74.3 mi
- Hagerman National Wildlife Refuge4.85.6 mi
- Lake Texoma State Park4.519.8 mi
- Highport Marina4.68.7 mi
- Eisenhower Yacht Club4.48.6 mi
- Texoma Destinations4.98.9 mi
- Stone Creek Golf Club3.67.2 mi
- Tanglewood Golf Course4.28.1 mi
- Buncombe Creek Golf Course4.516.5 mi
- Rock Creek4.315.5 mi
- La Michoacana Meat Market3.95.2 mi
- Albertsons4.34.7 mi
- Ross Dress for Less4.33.5 mi
- Albertsons4.27.9 mi
- T.J. Maxx4.33.4 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this county — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
A major regional institution providing higher education and workforce training.
A private liberal arts college located in Sherman that serves as a cultural and educational anchor.
Data sourced from Census ACS and Data USA profiles.
applies when — Parcel is encumbered by a Texas constitutional home equity loan (HELOC or lump-sum equity loan).
Bars private power-of-sale foreclosure. Constitutional protections strictly require lenders to obtain a formal judicial or expedited quasi-judicial court order under Texas Rules of Civil Procedure 735 and 736 before initiating foreclosure proceedings against homestead residential property.
Tex. Const. art. XVI, Sec. 50(a)(6)(D); Tex. R. Civ. P. 735, 736.
applies when — Parcel is situated within a Municipal Utility District (MUD), Water Control and Improvement District (WCID), or other special taxing district created under Article XVI, Section 59 of the Texas Constitution.
Subject to supplemental ad valorem debt-service and maintenance tax levies imposed by the MUD board. Sellers are statutorily required to furnish an executed statutory district disclosure notice stating the district's authority to levy taxes, current tax rates, and total authorized bond indebtedness prior to contract execution. If notice is omitted, the buyer maintains statutory rights to terminate the transaction or sue for damages up to $5,000 plus costs.
Tex. Water Code Ann. Sec. 49.452.
applies when — Parcel is located within the unincorporated extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ) adjacent to an incorporated municipality (ranging from 0.5 to 5 miles depending on municipal population).
Subjects parcel subdivision and development to municipal platting authority, roadway access rules, and utility easements under Local Government Code Chapter 212, even though municipal zoning does not apply. In 2023, the state enacted a petition/referendum mechanism permitting landowners in an ETJ to unilaterally opt out and release their parcel from municipal ETJ regulation.
Tex. Loc. Gov't Code Ann. Chapters 42, 212, and Chapter 247 (enacted by Texas Senate Bill 2038, effective September 1, 2023).
applies when — Parcel is subject to mandatory membership in a property owners' association under recorded restrictive covenants.
Obligates the seller to provide a formal statutory disclosure notice to the prospective purchaser before contract execution detailing mandatory HOA membership, obligations to pay regular assessments, association restrictive covenants, and the prospect of lien foreclosure for delinquency. Failure to deliver the notice enables the purchaser to terminate the contract prior to closing.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.012 and Sec. 207.003.
applies when — Parcel is subject to recorded dedicatory instruments, restrictive covenants, and mandatory membership in a property owners' association (POA/HOA).
Imposes statutory covenants and restrictions on parcel encumbrance and enforcement: association must file management certificates with county clerk and TREC; requires an expedited judicial court order under Tex. R. Civ. P. 736 to foreclose an assessment lien; bars non-judicial foreclosure for purely fine-based or attorney fee liens; guarantees the property owner a 180-day statutory post-foreclosure right of redemption; establishes statutory owner protections preventing POAs from banning solar panels, religious displays, security measures, or rain-harvesting barrels.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Chapter 209 (amended extensively under SB 1588 effective September 1, 2021).
applies when — Ad valorem real property taxes assessed by local taxing entities become delinquent under Chapter 33.
Authorizes local taxing entities to seize and judicially foreclose on the parcel to satisfy accrued tax debt, interest, and administrative penalties. Grants former owners an absolute post-sale statutory right of redemption: (1) 2-year redemption window for residence homesteads and ag-exempt land with redemption costs equal to purchase price plus a 25% premium in year 1 or a 50% premium in year 2; (2) 180-day redemption window for non-homestead residential parcels with a 25% premium.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Chapters 33 and 34 (specifically Sec. 34.21).
applies when — Real property parcel secured by a deed of trust or contract lien containing an express power-of-sale clause upon borrower default (conventional mortgages).
Permits private non-judicial foreclosure without court intervention. Imposes strict statutory procedural timeline: minimum 20-day written notice of default and intent to accelerate with right to cure, followed by minimum 21-day public notice of sale (recorded with county clerk, posted at courthouse, and served on debtor via certified mail). Foreclosure sales must occur on the first Tuesday of the month between 10:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. at the designated county venue. Under Texas law, conventional mortgage non-judicial foreclosure conveys permanent title without any post-sale statutory right of redemption for the mortgagor.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 51.002.
Statutorily compels sellers to affirmatively disclose whether the property is located wholly or partly in a 100-year floodplain, 500-year floodplain, floodway, flood pool, or reservoir; whether the parcel has ever experienced flooding or water penetration into structures during a natural event; and whether the seller currently maintains flood insurance coverage.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.008(b), amended by Texas Senate Bill 339 following Hurricane Harvey (effective September 1, 2019).
Obligates the seller to deliver an executed comprehensive written disclosure notice to the purchaser before entering into an executory contract. Failure to deliver the disclosure gives the buyer a statutory, unconditional right to terminate the purchase contract for any reason within seven days after receiving the notice or before closing, whichever occurs first.
Tex. Prop. Code Ann. Sec. 5.008.
applies when — Homestead parcel is owned and occupied by an individual aged 65 or older or an individual who qualifies as disabled under federal guidelines.
Grants an additional mandatory $10,000 exemption from ISD appraised value (Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000 - $10,000) and establishes an absolute statutory tax freeze (school tax ceiling): total ISD property taxes cannot exceed the dollar ceiling established in the first qualifying year, unless new improvements or additions are made to the parcel.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Sec. 11.13(c) and Sec. 11.26.
applies when — The residential structure and land (up to 20 acres) are owned and occupied as the owner's principal residence as of the qualification date.
Imposes mandatory state-level valuation deductions and growth limitations on the qualifying homestead: (1) Mandates a $100,000 deduction from appraised value for independent school district (ISD) maintenance and operations/debt taxation: Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000; (2) Grants optional local-option percentage deductions (up to 20% of appraised value, minimum $5,000) for cities and counties: Taxable Value_Local = Appraised Value - Max(0.20 * Appraised Value, $5,000); (3) Caps annual homestead appraised value increases at 10% plus the value of new improvements: Appraised Value_t <= (1.10 * Appraised Value_{t-1}) + Value_NewImprovements.
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Sec. 11.13 and Sec. 23.23. The ISD exemption was expanded to $100,000 via constitutional amendment (Proposition 4) effective for tax years beginning on or after January 1, 2023.
Mandates ad valorem appraisal of all real property at 100% of fair market value as of January 1 each tax year (Assessment Ratio = 1.00). Tax liability formula: Total Tax = SUM[(Appraised Value - Applicable Exemptions) * (Local Taxing Unit Adopted Rate / 100)] across all overlapping taxing units (independent school district, county, municipality, special districts). Establishes a statutory administrative protest and appeal process before the County Appraisal Review Board (ARB).
Tex. Tax Code Ann. Title 1, Subtitles A-D (specifically Sec. 23.01 and Sec. 26.01 et seq.). Annual appraisal cycle effective January 1.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.