The story of this market
The typical home in Surprise, Arizona sells for about $424,619, or $221 per square foot.
Prices are up +1.1% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 79 days to sell, which is slow. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,900 a month.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+0.5%
AZ · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Surprise, Arizona
Surprise's housing market has stabilized into a balanced suburban environment with median sale prices hovering around $425,000, representing modest positive year-over-year growth of 1.1%. Inventory supply stands at roughly 2.8 months with average marketing durations near 79 days, supported by solid buyer demand and competitive sale-to-list ratios at 99%. Robust retail and industrial expansion along the Loop 303 corridor continues to backstop steady long-term housing fundamentals.
No ARED county foreclosure postings attributed to Surprise yet — the verified ledger covers every county the foreclosure ingest has read, attributed by published city area. Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Deterministic aggregate of 3 researched ZIP reports — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Median prices moved down 1.9% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 100 days on market with 0.0 months of supply — a balanced-paced market.
0% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 0.71% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 4.1% · poverty 8.6% — a stable, low-distress profile.
- Castles N' Coasters4.314.9 mi
- Hurricane Harbor Phoenix3.613.3 mi
- FatCats Surprise4.43.3 mi
- Dave & Buster's Glendale4.28.9 mi
- Round1 Bowling & Arcade - Glendale3.88.3 mi
- State Farm Stadium4.69.3 mi
- Chase Field4.621.5 mi
- Mortgage Matchup Center4.621.3 mi
- Phoenix Convention Center4.521.3 mi
- Arizona Financial Theatre4.420.8 mi
- Desert Diamond Casino - West Valley3.98.3 mi
- Wildlife World Zoo, Aquarium & Safari Park4.56 mi
- Westgate Entertainment District4.69 mi
- Harkins Theatres Estrella Falls4.711.2 mi
- Castles N' Coasters4.314.9 mi
- Musical Instrument Museum4.922.6 mi
- Phoenix Art Museum4.720.4 mi
- Japanese Friendship Garden of Phoenix4.420.4 mi
- Children's Museum of Phoenix4.621.4 mi
- Heard Museum4.720.2 mi
- Victory Steps at Verrado4.811.6 mi
- Pioneer Community Park4.59 mi
- White Tank Mountain Regional Park4.810.8 mi
- Friendship Park4.611.9 mi
- Paloma Community Park4.810.7 mi
- Topgolf Glendale4.39.1 mi
- Wigwam Golf Club4.49.1 mi
- Quintero Golf Club4.215.5 mi
- Bellair Golf Park4.512.2 mi
- Grand Canyon University Championship Golf Course4.213.9 mi
- Arrowhead Towne Center4.48.2 mi
- Tanger Outlets Phoenix4.58.8 mi
- Desert Sky Mall413.4 mi
- Westgate Entertainment District4.69 mi
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport4.324.6 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this city — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
A premier 10,500-seat stadium serving as the Spring Training home of the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals, driving significant seasonal tourism and hospitality spending.
A central 200-acre park featuring a five-acre urban fishing lake, ball fields, playgrounds, and an extensive municipal aquatic center hosting regional competitions and community programs.
An award-winning municipal racquet venue featuring 25 championship tennis courts and dedicated pickleball courts that host national tournaments and regional leagues.
A Billy Casper-designed championship layout located in Sun City Grand, serving local residents and winter visitors as a centerpiece recreational amenity.
Spanning over 29,000 acres along the city's western periphery, offering rugged Sonoran Desert hiking, equestrian trails, mountain biking, and starry night skies.
Surprise is well suited for suburban family buyers looking for newer construction, reputable K-8 schools, and established community parks at price points below central Valley locations. It also offers a deep downsizer and retiree segment concentrated in active-adult communities like Sun City Grand. Commuters tolerant of longer drives and buy-and-hold residential investors benefit from steady demographic and employment growth across the West Valley.
Primary public education is anchored by the Dysart Unified School District alongside a substantial footprint of top-ranked charter operators such as Legacy Traditional and Great Hearts. Several district elementary and K-8 campuses earn ratings of 8 to 10 out of 10 on GreatSchools, though middle and high school scores demonstrate wider variance across older versus newer subdivisions. Overall educational sentiment remains a key draw for incoming suburban families.
Automobile transit represents the primary connectivity network, dominated by US-60 (Grand Avenue), Loop 303, and east-west thoroughfares including Bell Road and Waddell Road. Valley Metro operates limited commuter bus routes and on-demand microtransit pilots, with long-term regional planning assessing future commuter rail or BRT links along the BNSF railway corridor. Commutes into central Phoenix or northern employment corridors typically range from 40 to 60 minutes.
Surprise provides an expansive municipal recreation footprint headlined by the 200-acre Surprise Community Park, an aquatic facility, and the Surprise Tennis & Racquet Complex. Golf is widely accessible through public and private layouts including Desert Springs and other championship courses within Sun City Grand. Bordering the city to the west, White Tank Mountain Regional Park offers thousands of acres of hiking, biking, and outdoor trail systems.
The rental market in Surprise is anchored primarily by single-family detached build-to-rent and traditional single-family rental homes, with median asking rents around $1,900 per month. Vacancy pressures have stabilized as inventory growth in multifamily projects around Prasada and Bell Road caught up with post-pandemic migration. Institutional and retail single-family investors remain present, while short-term rental activity is moderate and localized around golf communities and sports events.
The Surprise economy is undergoing a transition from a residential bedroom and active-adult community into a diverse regional employment hub. Anchor economic pillars include healthcare networks (Banner Health), local education and municipal administration, retail power centers, and light industrial developments along the Loop 303 corridor. The ongoing attraction of advanced manufacturing and technology logistics across Maricopa County continues to boost local employment retention.
Economic and development momentum is intense, highlighted by the build-out of the multi-acre Surprise City Center and massive commercial corridors like the Village at Prasada. Major employment anchors include Ottawa University, healthcare campuses (Banner Del E. Webb), and light manufacturing and logistics expansion along Loop 303. Significant infrastructure investments by Maricopa County and the city continue to support steady single-family construction and retail infill.
City planning efforts are centered on high-density commercial infill, mixed-use walkability in the Downtown/City Center zone, and continuous infrastructure expansion along the Loop 303 logistics corridor. The city council actively updates general plans to preserve water resources while accommodating commercial, light manufacturing, and multifamily housing projects. Infrastructure upgrades to widen key arterial roads and expand water reclamation facilities remain underway.
Parcels in Surprise are subject to Maricopa County taxing authorities, Dysart Unified School District, Maricopa Community Colleges, and the Flood Control District of Maricopa County. Many newer master-planned developments also sit within Community Facilities Districts (CFDs), which levy supplemental secondary property taxes to finance localized infrastructure such as roads, water mains, and sewer utilities.
Surprise exhibits violent and property crime rates notably below both state and national benchmarks, maintaining a reputation as one of the safer large suburban municipalities in the Phoenix metropolitan area. Neighborhood safety is bolstered by active community policing and master-planned neighborhood design. Trend lines over recent years have remained stable despite rapid overall population growth.
Surprise carries a minor-to-moderate flood footprint concentrated in localized low-elevation desert washes, mitigated by modern master-planned retention basins and regional drainage corridors. Wildfire threat is primarily confined to peripheral desert borders near the White Tank Mountains, while extreme summer heat and long-term regional groundwater management pose the most systemic environmental and utility cost exposures. Property insurance markets remain functional with rates lower than coastal zones.
Arizona's residential property insurance climate is comparatively stable relative to coastal states, though premium rates have trended upward in response to inflation, roof-damage claims, and summer convective wind and dust storms. Wildfire risk is concentrated on extreme desert fringe parcels near the White Tanks, while most city-limit residential neighborhoods maintain broad insurance availability.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Arizona) — Delinquent Property Tax Lien Sale and 3-Year Redemption Foreclosure: The county treasurer sells a tax lien certificate via public auction to the investor bidding the lowest annual rate of interest (ranging from 16% down to 0% per annum under A.R.S. § 42-18114). State (Arizona) — Statutory Residential Homestead Exemption: Exempts up to $400,000 of equity in an owner-occupied primary dwelling from attachment, execution, and forced sale arising from unsecured civil judgment liens. The exemption attaches automatically by operation of law without requiring a recorded declaration. Per A.R.S. State (Arizona) — Ad Valorem Property Taxation — Class 3 and Class 4 Residential Assessment: Imposes primary and secondary ad valorem taxes based on Limited Property Value (LPV). Formula: Net Assessed Value (NAV) = LPV × Assessment Ratio (10.0% for Class 3 owner-occupied under A.R.S. § 42-12003 and Class 4 residential rental under A.R.S. § 42-12004).
ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Aggregate published statistics for this city — never individual records, and never an attribute of any individual property or resident.
Researched annual trajectory for this city, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.4%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this city's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Data pulled from U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts, Census Reporter profiles for Surprise city (FIPS 0471510), and Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) estimates published on surpriseaz.gov.
applies when — Applies only to parcels located within the boundaries of specific special taxing districts (e.g., Irrigation Water Delivery Districts, SLIDs).
Imposes additional tax levies or per-acreage assessments on top of the primary property tax. For example, some districts charge on a per-acreage basis while others use a rate per $100 of valuation.
Rates and levies are established annually by the specific district.
Requires uniform identification of developed property and improvements for emergency services, record keeping, and postal delivery.
Standardized regulation for all developed property.
applies when — Applies to all development of land conditions that may affect drainage systems and patterns.
Imposes requirements on development projects to manage drainage systems and patterns to prevent flooding and erosion.
Applicable to all development projects impacting drainage.
Controls the use of outdoor artificial illuminating devices to minimize light pollution and protect astronomical observations.
Incorporated into Section 812 of the Maricopa County Zoning Ordinance.
Regulates land use, growth, and development in unincorporated areas to promote public health, safety, and general welfare.
Governs all unincorporated land within the county.
The tax is calculated by multiplying the Limited Property Value (LPV) determined by the County Assessor by the primary tax rate. The rate is derived by dividing the total primary tax levy by the total assessed value of all property within the jurisdiction. For example, a primary tax increase can raise taxes on a $100,000 home from $113.85 to $115.91.
Rates are set annually in August pursuant to A.R.S. § 42-17151.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.