The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 85388 sells for about $420,000, or $225 per square foot.
Prices are up +2.5% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 35 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $2,094 a month.
ZIP 85388 — Surprise
The housing market in 85388 remains stable with steady price appreciation and high demand for single-family homes. Growth is supported by the area's strong demographic profile and ongoing commercial development along the Loop 303 corridor. While inventory remains tight, the market is balanced by consistent buyer interest.
This ZIP is ideal for family buyers and professionals seeking newer, master-planned housing with access to suburban amenities. It is less suited for those requiring immediate proximity to downtown employment hubs.
Median prices moved up 2.5% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 35 days on market with 3.8 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
22% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 4.1% · poverty 5.0% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 85388, Maricopa County AZ
Crime rates in the Surprise area are generally lower than the national average, with property crime being the primary concern. The area is considered safe and family-oriented compared to larger urban centers in Maricopa County.
Schools serving the 85388 area are part of the Dysart Unified School District, which generally maintains average to above-average performance ratings. The district is known for its focus on STEM and career-readiness programs.
The area faces typical desert climate risks, including extreme heat and occasional flash flooding during monsoon season. Property insurance premiums are influenced by these environmental factors and the regional wildfire risk profile.
Surprise is experiencing significant economic momentum driven by residential expansion and the growth of the nearby Loop 303 corridor. Major employers include the City of Surprise, Dysart Unified School District, and various retail and healthcare providers.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Arizona) — Senior Property Valuation Protection Option (Senior Freeze): Provides a 'freeze' on the valuation of the property for tax purposes, limiting the growth of the property tax burden for eligible seniors. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: The tax is calculated by applying an assessment ratio to the property's Limited Property Value (LPV). For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: Property tax is calculated using the formula: (Full Cash Value or Limited Property Value) x Assessment Ratio = Net Assessed Value. The Net Assessed Value is then multiplied by the local tax rate. For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Delinquent Property Tax Lien Sale and 3-Year Redemption Foreclosure: The county treasurer sells a tax lien certificate via public auction to the investor bidding the lowest annual rate of interest (ranging from 16% down to 0% per annum under A.R.S. § 42-18114). State (Arizona) — Statutory Residential Homestead Exemption: Exempts up to $400,000 of equity in an owner-occupied primary dwelling from attachment, execution, and forced sale arising from unsecured civil judgment liens.
Residents primarily commute via the US-60 and Loop 303, with most employment centers located in the West Valley or downtown Phoenix. Commute times are generally longer due to the distance from the central business district.
The area features access to the Surprise Recreation Campus, which includes a stadium and aquatic center, alongside numerous neighborhood parks and trails. Shopping and dining are concentrated along the Bell Road corridor.
The rental market is characterized by high demand for single-family homes, with rents trending upward due to limited inventory. Investor presence is moderate, with a mix of long-term rentals and some short-term vacation properties.
The economy is anchored by retail, healthcare, and public sector employment. The expansion of the Loop 303 corridor is attracting new industrial and commercial investment to the region.
Transportation is heavily reliant on private vehicles, with major access provided by US-60 and the Loop 303 freeway. Public transit options are limited compared to the Phoenix urban core.
Development is focused on the continued build-out of master-planned communities and the expansion of commercial infrastructure along major arterial roads.
Maricopa County Assessor uses a mass appraisal system to determine property values based on market sales and property characteristics.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including fire districts, school districts, and potential community facilities districts (CFDs) for infrastructure financing.
Property insurance costs are rising due to regional wildfire risks and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events in the desert Southwest.
Arizona continues to see strong net domestic migration, with the West Valley being a primary destination for new residents.
Arizona is primarily a non-judicial foreclosure state, allowing for a streamlined process under the deed of trust framework.
Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive real estate disclosure statement covering the physical condition of the property.
Data retrieved from US Civic Data and Census Bureau ZCTA profiles.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Castles N' Coasters4.319.1 mi
- Hurricane Harbor Phoenix3.618 mi
- FatCats Surprise4.41.9 mi
- Dave & Buster's Glendale4.211.9 mi
- Round1 Bowling & Arcade - Glendale3.813 mi
- State Farm Stadium4.612.1 mi
- Talking Stick Resort Amphitheatre - Phoenix4.415.7 mi
- Desert Diamond Arena4.512.1 mi
- Camelback Ranch - Glendale4.611.2 mi
- Phoenix Raceway4.618.2 mi
- Desert Diamond Casino - West Valley3.911.6 mi
- Wildlife World Zoo, Aquarium & Safari Park4.54.8 mi
- Harkins Theatres Estrella Falls4.710.7 mi
- Westgate Entertainment District4.612 mi
- Harkins Theatres Arrowhead4.612 mi
- Martin Auto Museum and Event Center4.916.9 mi
- Deer Valley Petroglyph Preserve4.517.5 mi
- Manistee Ranch4.616.5 mi
- Phoenix Winter Wonderland4.717.7 mi
- Sun Cities Area Historical Society/Del Webb Sun Cities Museum4.88.9 mi
- Victory Steps at Verrado4.87.9 mi
- White Tank Mountain Regional Park4.86.1 mi
- Pioneer Community Park4.512.8 mi
- Friendship Park4.612.7 mi
- Rio Vista Community Park4.711.7 mi
- Pleasant Harbor Marina4.619.8 mi
- Topgolf Glendale4.311.8 mi
- Wigwam Golf Club4.49.5 mi
- Verrado Golf Club4.69 mi
- Palmbrook Golf Club4.210.7 mi
- Palm Valley Golf Club4.411.1 mi
- Arrowhead Towne Center4.412.9 mi
- Tanger Outlets Phoenix4.511.7 mi
- Westgate Entertainment District4.612 mi
- T.J. Maxx & HomeGoods4.410.6 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
Features a stadium, aquatic center, and tennis courts.
Large regional park offering hiking and mountain biking trails nearby.
Spring training home for the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.