The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 85374 sells for about $385,000, or $236 per square foot.
Prices are up +4.2% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 65 days to sell, which is slow. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,950 a month.
ZIP 85374 — Surprise
The 85374 housing market shows signs of stabilization with moderate year-over-year price growth and a balanced inventory level. While sales volume has fluctuated, the area remains attractive to retirees and families, supported by consistent demand in master-planned communities. Current conditions reflect a steady market environment despite broader economic headwinds.
This ZIP is ideal for active adults and retirees seeking resort-style living, as well as families looking for master-planned communities with extensive recreational amenities.
Median prices moved up 4.2% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 65 days on market with 4.2 months of supply — a balanced-paced market.
28% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.8% · poverty 6.2% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Built from 491 recorded sales in the last 24 months against HUD 3-bedroom fair market rents. The location premium is the part of the price that rent, income, education, employment, vacancy, price trend, hazard, lending and flood risk don't explain. It usually reflects amenities, schools and scarcity. It's area context and does not change this ZIP's home value estimates.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.9%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 5.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 85374, Maricopa County AZ
Crime rates in the Surprise area are generally lower than the national average, with property crime being the primary concern in suburban residential zones.
The area is served by the Dysart Unified School District, which maintains a mix of highly-rated elementary schools and standard-performing secondary institutions.
The region faces low flood risk but is subject to extreme heat and occasional dust storms, with standard insurance coverage typically including these environmental factors.
Surprise is experiencing steady growth driven by residential expansion and the development of commercial corridors along the US-60 and Loop 303 infrastructure.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Arizona) — Senior Property Valuation Protection Option (Senior Freeze): Provides a 'freeze' on the valuation of the property for tax purposes, limiting the growth of the property tax burden for eligible seniors. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: The tax is calculated by applying an assessment ratio to the property's Limited Property Value (LPV). For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: Property tax is calculated using the formula: (Full Cash Value or Limited Property Value) x Assessment Ratio = Net Assessed Value. The Net Assessed Value is then multiplied by the local tax rate. For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Delinquent Property Tax Lien Sale and 3-Year Redemption Foreclosure: The county treasurer sells a tax lien certificate via public auction to the investor bidding the lowest annual rate of interest (ranging from 16% down to 0% per annum under A.R.S. § 42-18114). State (Arizona) — Statutory Residential Homestead Exemption: Exempts up to $400,000 of equity in an owner-occupied primary dwelling from attachment, execution, and forced sale arising from unsecured civil judgment liens.
Commuters primarily utilize the US-60 and Loop 303 to access employment hubs in Glendale and Phoenix, with average commute times exceeding 30 minutes.
The area features extensive access to the Sun City Grand amenities, including multiple golf courses, community centers, and proximity to the White Tank Mountain Regional Park.
The rental market is characterized by high demand for single-family homes, with vacancy rates remaining low due to the area's popularity with retirees and seasonal residents.
The local economy is anchored by healthcare, retail, and public sector employment, with significant growth in logistics and manufacturing along the Loop 303.
Transportation is heavily reliant on private vehicles, with major highway access provided by US-60 and the Loop 303 freeway.
Development is focused on mixed-use projects near the city center and continued residential build-out in the northern sections of the ZIP.
The Maricopa County Assessor determines property values based on market sales data and physical property characteristics.
Parcels are subject to various special districts including the Dysart Unified School District and local fire district assessments.
Property insurance premiums are rising due to regional wildfire and heat-related risk assessments across the Phoenix metro area.
Arizona continues to see strong net domestic migration, primarily from California and the Pacific Northwest.
Arizona is primarily a non-judicial foreclosure state, allowing for a streamlined process under the deed of trust statutes.
Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive real estate disclosure statement covering all known material defects of the property.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov ZCTA-level tables.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Hurricane Harbor Phoenix3.618.3 mi
- FatCats Surprise4.44.6 mi
- Dave & Buster's Glendale4.214.4 mi
- Round1 Bowling & Arcade - Glendale3.813.9 mi
- Great Skate4.218.7 mi
- State Farm Stadium4.614.7 mi
- Desert Diamond Arena4.514.6 mi
- Talking Stick Resort Amphitheatre - Phoenix4.418.5 mi
- Camelback Ranch - Glendale4.614 mi
- Peoria Sports Complex4.613.4 mi
- Wildlife World Zoo, Aquarium & Safari Park4.58 mi
- FatCats Surprise4.44.6 mi
- AMC Surprise Pointe 144.27.2 mi
- Harkins Lake Pleasant CINÉGRILL4.511.7 mi
- Surprise Community Park4.75.5 mi
- Martin Auto Museum and Event Center4.918.2 mi
- Deer Valley Petroglyph Preserve4.518 mi
- Manistee Ranch4.618.5 mi
- Phoenix Winter Wonderland4.719.7 mi
- Sun Cities Area Historical Society/Del Webb Sun Cities Museum4.810.7 mi
- Victory Steps at Verrado4.810.4 mi
- White Tank Mountain Regional Park4.86.8 mi
- Surprise Community Park4.75.5 mi
- The Desert Lights4.37.3 mi
- Rescue Oasis4.54.2 mi
- Scorpion Bay Marina4.718 mi
- Pleasant Harbor Marina4.617.9 mi
- Wigwam Golf Club4.412.6 mi
- Verrado Golf Club4.611.5 mi
- Palmbrook Golf Club4.212 mi
- Coyote Lakes Golf Club4.39 mi
- Union Hills Golf Club3.911 mi
- WinCo Foods4.62.8 mi
- Fry's Marketplace4.44.2 mi
- Fry's Marketplace4.211.2 mi
- Fry's Marketplace4.412 mi
- Fry's4.310.9 mi
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport4.330.4 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
Multiple championship courses serving the local community.
Large regional park offering extensive hiking and mountain biking trails.
Spring training home for the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals.
Key-figure check: median price corroborated by the published ten-year series (2025) (within 12.5%).