The story of this market
The typical home in Clay County, Florida sells for about $336,485, or $180 per square foot.
Prices are down 2% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 46 days to sell. Over the long run, values in this county have grown 152% since 2000. Last year 14 of 39 neighborhoods saw prices rise, so the story isn't the same street to street. The biggest natural hazard here is lightning, which FEMA rates relatively high. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,694 a month.
HUD sets the fair market rent for a 2-bedroom at $1,694 a month. FEMA's National Risk Index rates overall hazard risk here as Relatively Low.
Price climate
Every year of price change, 2000–2025
0%
2025
Each stripe is one year's median price change across the area's census tracts (FHFA repeat-sales index). Deep blue is a strong gain year, red a falling year. Best: 2022 (+19.2%). Worst: 2009 (-12.4%). Hover to read a year.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+1%
FL · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Rent benchmark
Fair market rent by size
$2,077
3-bed / month
HUD Fair Market Rents, fiscal 2027, for this county. A typical rent for a modest unit, used to set housing-voucher payments.
Neighborhood price trend
Long-run price trend, 2000–2025
0%
2025 change
FHFA repeat-sales index, median of 39 census tracts in this county (2000 = 100). Bars are each year's median change.
Natural hazard exposure
The area's risk shape
38
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index. Each spoke is a hazard ranked nationally, where 100 is the most exposed. Expected annual loss: $57,125,279.
Mortgage activity
Home lending in this county
74.9%
2018 approval rate
| Year | Applications | Loans made | Approval | Investor share | Median home value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 12630 | 6147 | 74.9% | 2.6% | $195,000 |
CFPB Home Mortgage Disclosure Act records: every mortgage application reported by lenders for homes in this county. Approval rate is approved ÷ decided (withdrawn and incomplete files excluded). Investor share and home value are the median census tract.
Clay County, Florida
Clay County's residential housing market reflects balanced conditions as higher mortgage rates and growing active inventory counter historically tight regional supply. Median sale prices stand near $336,500, showing a mild year-over-year softening of 2.0% as days on market expand to 46 days. Sellers continue to secure around 96.4% of original asking price, while buyers benefit from more price concessions and roughly 3.6 months of housing inventory.
No ARED distress-ledger coverage for this county yet — the foreclosure ingest rotates the national county directory, and filings appear here once the county's posted notices are read. Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Select a city to expand its ZIP intel reports beneath · 7 cities · 12 ZIP reports
Median prices moved down 0.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 48 days on market with 15.6 months of supply — a slower-moving market.
12% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 97.29% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.4% · poverty 8.5% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Deterministic aggregate of 11 researched ZIP reports of 12 — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Clay County, Florida — researched county-level history with a deterministic 1 / 3 / 5-year projection
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.1%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
No researched properties in this county yet — the property base layer populates as property research runs, and each property feeds its ZIP's roll-up.
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 17
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 17
researched Sep 20
researched Sep 20
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
researched Sep 16
| 32003 | Fleming Island | $442,502 | $208 | -1% | 44 | 97.8% | 23.4% | 4.4 | 163 | $1,935 | researched Sep 16 |
| 32043 | Green Cove Springs | $347,135 | $208 | -1.3% | 42 | 97.8% | 28.1% | 4.2 | 627 | $1,545 | researched Sep 16 |
| 32058 | Lawtey | $241,000 | $145 | +2.5% | 87 | 96.5% | 12% | 5.2 | 45 | $1,135 | researched Sep 17 |
| 32065 | Orange Park | $335,000 | $223 | -4.6% | 44 | 97.8% | 26% | 4.4 | 206 | $1,743 | researched Sep 16 |
| 32068 | Middleburg | $310,000 | $172 | +1.6% | 47 | 96.4% | 26% | 4.1 | 214 | $1,391 | researched Sep 17 |
| 32073 | Orange Park | $300,473 | $187 | -1.3% | 81 | 98.5% | 28.2% | 5.2 | 154 | $1,472 | researched Sep 20 |
| 32079 | Penney Farms | $220,000 | $179 | -2.1% | 59 | 97.8% | 28% | 4.4 | 129 | $1,837 | researched Sep 20 |
| 32091 | Starke | $240,000 | $165 | +1.2% | 39 | 96.5% | 28% | 4.8 | 118 | $830 | researched Sep 16 |
| 32222 | Jacksonville | $330,000 | $185 | +1.7% | 58 | 96.9% | 28% | 3.6 | 119 | $1,795 | researched Sep 16 |
| 32244 | Jacksonville | $259,950 | $168 | -1% | 41 | 97.8% | — | 3.4 | 178 | $1,470 | researched Sep 16 |
Figures are each ZIP report's own latest research — the county roll-up aggregates them sales_count-weighted (population fallback); ZIPs cycle quarterly.
Clay County maintains a lower violent and property crime rate than the broader Jacksonville metropolitan core, ranking consistently among the safer suburban jurisdictions in Northeast Florida. Recent local sheriff data indicates steady decreases in overall property offenses, though residential vehicle burglaries remain a focal prevention target.
The Clay County School District earns high marks overall, anchored by several top-ranked campuses like Fleming Island High, Orange Park Elementary, and Robert M. Paterson Elementary. The district holds a solid state 'A' or 'B' grade profile with strong parental engagement and vocational program offerings.
The county faces moderate riverine and tributary flood exposure associated with the St. Johns River, Doctors Inlet, and Black Creek basins, with roughly 17% of parcels at severe 30-year risk. While hurricane wind and storm surge remain standard Northeast Florida insurance considerations, inland elevation offers comparatively better wind protection than oceanfront counties.
Clay County is seeing steady economic momentum powered by health care system expansions (Baptist Health, HCA Florida Orange Park), manufacturing along Highway 17, and infrastructure build-outs. The major expansion of the First Coast Expressway (SR-23) continues to unlock thousands of acres for master-planned suburban development across southern and western Clay.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.
Clay County's rental segment is characterized by steady suburban single-family rental demand alongside targeted multifamily developments in Oakleaf and Orange Park. Vacancies hover in the healthy 6% to 8% range with minimal short-term vacation rental pressure due to strict deed restrictions and a predominantly owner-occupied, family-centric orientation.
Clay County's economy is anchored by healthcare, local government/education, retail trade, and construction, while functioning as a major suburban bedroom community for greater Jacksonville and Naval Air Station Jacksonville. Expanding logistics corridors around the First Coast Expressway are diversifying the local light-industrial and distribution footprint.
Commuter travel revolves around key north-south arterials US-17, Blanding Boulevard (SR-21), and the newly expanded First Coast Expressway (SR-23), connecting directly to I-295 and Jacksonville. Fixed-route public transit is limited, leaving single-occupancy personal vehicles as the predominant mode of daily commuting.
Substantial land-use conversions are underway in southern and western Clay County, transitioning historical agricultural timber tracts into planned unit developments along the First Coast Expressway. Green Cove Springs and Middleburg are the focal points of ongoing utility expansions and rezoning petitions.
The Clay County Property Appraiser determines fair market valuations annually as of January 1 utilizing mass appraisal techniques under Florida Department of Revenue oversight. Florida's Save Our Homes amendment strictly caps annual assessed value increases at 3% or the CPI rate (whichever is lower) for homestead-exempt primary residential properties.
Parcels are subject to special taxing overlays including the St. Johns River Water Management District, mosquito control, municipal MSTUs, and several Community Development Districts (CDDs) governing infrastructure in subdivisions like Eagle Harbor and Oakleaf.
Homeowners insurance premiums have increased across Northeast Florida due to statewide litigation and reinsurance adjustments, though inland Clay County experiences fewer coastal wind surge surcharges than barrier-island jurisdictions. The state-run Citizens Property Insurance Corporation maintains a relatively modest policy footprint here compared to South Florida.
IRS and Census data show healthy positive domestic in-migration, with approximately 3,600 net inbound residents arriving annually, predominantly relocating from California, Virginia, New York, and neighboring Duval County.
Florida enforces a strictly judicial foreclosure process requiring court filings and a formal judge-signed decree before judicial public auction. Statutory post-sale redemption rights are generally cut off once the clerk files the certificate of sale, giving defaulted borrowers limited remedies post-auction.
Florida common law under Johnson v. Davis mandates that residential sellers disclose all known latent material defects that substantially affect property value and are not readily observable to buyers. Real estate associations provide standard seller property disclosure statements covering roof age, water intrusion, mechanical systems, and environmental hazards.
- Dave & Buster's Jacksonville4.220.7 mi
- Capybara Cafe4.828.1 mi
- Ponce de Leon's Fountain of Youth Archaeological Park4.528.4 mi
- K1 Speed Jacksonville4.620.9 mi
- Urban Air Trampoline and Adventure Park4.319 mi
- Jacksonville Zoo and Botanical Gardens4.629.4 mi
- EverBank Stadium4.524.3 mi
- VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena4.624.3 mi
- Topgolf Jacksonville4.524.2 mi
- Columbia Restaurant4.428.7 mi
- Cinemark Durbin Park XD and ScreenX4.717.1 mi
- Main Event Jacksonville4.118.5 mi
- AMC Orange Park 244.313.5 mi
- Veterans Park4.614.2 mi
- Urban Air Trampoline and Adventure Park4.319 mi
- Veterans Park4.614.2 mi
- Losco Regional Park4.617.9 mi
- Mike Roess Gold Head Branch State Park4.715 mi
- Spring Park4.86.1 mi
- Julington Durbin Creek Nature Preserve4.616.8 mi
- Green Cove Springs Marina3.97.7 mi
- Black Creek Marina and Bait Shop4.65.3 mi
- St. Johns Golf & Country Club4.516.6 mi
- Timuquana Country Club4.717.9 mi
- Cimarrone Golf Club4.114.7 mi
- King & Bear Golf Course4.315.7 mi
- Eagle Landing Golf Club4.512.4 mi
- The Avenues4.318.8 mi
- Orange Park Mall4.113.4 mi
- Kohl's4.216.9 mi
- T.J. Maxx4.115.4 mi
- HomeGoods4.419.4 mi
- Shores Liquor & Pub4.522.8 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this county — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
A prime regional aquatic hub offering extensive boating, fishing, watersports, and public boat ramps that define the leisure lifestyle of Fleming Island and Orange Park.
A historic 150-acre preserve located on Black Creek providing camping cabins, treehouse lodging, canoe/kayak launches, nature trails, and environmental education facilities.
An 18-hole championship public/resort golf course designed by Clyde Johnston, anchoring one of the county's signature master-planned communities.
Situated along the St. Johns River in Green Cove Springs, this landmark park features a natural spring-fed swimming pool, river gazebo, boardwalk, and community festival grounds.
A premier multi-sport facility developed in Belmore to host large regional soccer, baseball, and lacrosse tournaments alongside community recreational leagues.
Data retrieved from U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts and American Community Survey 5-Year profile tables for Clay County, FL (FIPS 12019).
Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. If unredeemed after two years, the certificate holder may initiate a tax deed application leading to public auction and extinguishing junior mortgages.
Fla. Stat. ch. 197 (Tax Collections, Sales, and Liens).
Preempts local building technical codes and mandates strict parcel-level adherence to high-velocity hurricane, impact-resistant glazing, wind load engineering, and flood elevation construction criteria enforced by local building officials through mandatory permitting, inspections, and certificates of occupancy.
Fla. Stat. ch. 553, Part IV (Florida Building Codes Act).
Prohibits local authorities from issuing development orders, rezonings, or building permits for a parcel unless public infrastructure (roads, potable water, wastewater, stormwater management) meets statutory 'concurrency' capacity standards required by the state-monitored Local Government Comprehensive Planning and Land Development Regulation Act.
Fla. Stat. ch. 163, Part II (Community Planning Act).
Requires statutory warning language to be included in at least one document or form prior to or at the execution of every contract for sale or rental agreement. Alerts purchasers to the risks of radon gas, state testing benchmarks, and public health advisories.
Fla. Stat. § 404.056(5).
applies when — Parcel is situated partially or wholly seaward of the Florida Coastal Construction Control Line established under § 161.053
Imposes strict state-level environmental and engineering permitting controls administered by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) prohibiting any excavation, construction, or alteration without a CCCL permit, overriding general local zoning. Any contract for sale must contain a mandatory statutory disclosure statement informing the buyer that the parcel is subject to CCCL restrictions and potential erosion risks.
Fla. Stat. §§ 161.053, 161.57.
applies when — Parcel is sited within an established Chapter 190 Community Development District
Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). These assessments are co-equal in lien priority with municipal and county ad valorem real property taxes, collected via the annual uniform tax bill under § 197.3632, and subject the parcel to immediate tax certificate sale or tax deed loss if unpaid. Contracts must provide an explicit bolded statutory CDD disclosure.
Fla. Stat. § 190.021, § 190.048, and ch. 197.
applies when — Residential parcel located within a master-planned or subdivided community governed by a recorded declaration under Chapter 720
Subject to restrictive covenants, architectural controls, and assessment obligations imposed by the association. Unpaid assessments form a statutory lien against the parcel with authority to foreclose judicially. Prospective purchasers must be served a mandatory statutory disclosure summary (§ 720.401) prior to executing any purchase contract; failure to provide it provides the buyer an absolute voidability window of up to 3 days from receipt or until closing.
Fla. Stat. ch. 720 (Homeowners' Associations), specifically §§ 720.3085, 720.401.
Non-judicial/power-of-sale foreclosure is prohibited; all mortgage encumbrances must be foreclosed through an equitable action in the circuit court. Homeowners hold an equity of redemption allowing satisfaction of the debt and dismissal until the clerk files the certificate of sale under § 45.031. Following sale, a statutory 10-day objection window applies before the clerk issues the final certificate of title conveying ownership.
Fla. Stat. ch. 702 (Mortgage Foreclosure) & § 45.031 (Judicial Sales Procedure).
Requires residential real property sellers to complete and deliver a statutory flood disclosure form prior to or at the time of executing the sales contract. Must disclose whether the seller has ever filed an insurance claim relating to flood damage with any carrier, including the NFIP, and whether the seller has ever received federal disaster assistance for flood damage on the parcel.
Fla. Stat. § 689.261 (enacted under HB 1049, eff. October 1, 2024).
Imposes an affirmative common-law duty on sellers of residential real property to disclose all facts known to the seller materially affecting the value or desirability of the property that are not readily observable and are not known to the buyer. 'As-is' contractual clauses do not relieve the seller of liability for fraudulent concealment or failure to disclose known latent material defects.
Johnson v. Davis, 480 So. 2d 625 (Fla. 1985) and progeny.
applies when — Owner maintains legal or beneficial title and establishes the parcel as their permanent primary residence as of January 1 and files by March 1
Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. Also confers the 'Save Our Homes' (SOH) cap, restricting annual increases in assessed value to the lesser of 3% or the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Upon transfer of ownership, SOH and exemptions reset, reassessing the parcel to full just value on January 1 of the following year.
Fla. Const. art. VII, § 4(d) & § 6; Fla. Stat. §§ 193.155, 196.031.
Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations. Taxable Value = Assessed Value - Applicable Exemptions. Millage rates (1 mill = $1 per $1,000 taxable value) are set by overlapping local taxing jurisdictions (county, municipal, school district, water management). Property taxes are billed in October/November and must be paid by March 31 of the following year.
Fla. Const. art. VII; Fla. Stat. ch. 192, 193, 200.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.