The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 85641 sells for about $420,000, or $215 per square foot.
Prices are up +2.5% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 76 days to sell, which is slow. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $2,100 a month.
ZIP 85641
The 85641 housing market remains stable with a median home price of $420,000 and balanced supply-demand dynamics. High household incomes and the reputation of the local school district continue to drive demand, despite broader economic headwinds. The market is currently characterized by steady activity and moderate price growth.
This ZIP is ideal for families seeking high-quality schools and a suburban lifestyle, as well as commuters who prefer a quieter environment within reach of Tucson's job centers.
Median prices moved up 2.5% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 76 days on market with 4.2 months of supply — a balanced-paced market.
18% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.2% · poverty 5.6% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 5.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 85641, Pima County AZ
ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Aggregate published statistics for this ZIP — never individual records, and never an attribute of any individual property or resident.
Vail generally reports lower crime rates compared to the broader Tucson metropolitan area, benefiting from its suburban, semi-rural character.
The area is primarily served by the Vail Unified School District, which is consistently recognized as one of the highest-performing districts in Arizona.
The region faces moderate wildfire risk due to its proximity to the Rincon Mountains and desert interface, with standard flood risks associated with seasonal monsoon drainage.
Growth is driven by residential expansion and the area's appeal as a bedroom community for Tucson, with ongoing infrastructure improvements to support the growing population.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Arizona) — Senior Property Valuation Protection Option (Senior Freeze): Provides a 'freeze' on the valuation of the property for tax purposes, limiting the growth of the property tax burden for eligible seniors. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: The tax is calculated by applying an assessment ratio to the property's Limited Property Value (LPV). For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Arizona Property Tax Assessment: Property tax is calculated using the formula: (Full Cash Value or Limited Property Value) x Assessment Ratio = Net Assessed Value. The Net Assessed Value is then multiplied by the local tax rate. For primary residential property (Class 3), the assessment ratio is 10%. State (Arizona) — Delinquent Property Tax Lien Sale and 3-Year Redemption Foreclosure: The county treasurer sells a tax lien certificate via public auction to the investor bidding the lowest annual rate of interest (ranging from 16% down to 0% per annum under A.R.S. § 42-18114). State (Arizona) — Statutory Residential Homestead Exemption: Exempts up to $400,000 of equity in an owner-occupied primary dwelling from attachment, execution, and forced sale arising from unsecured civil judgment liens.
Commuters primarily rely on I-10 for access to the Tucson employment core, with typical drive times ranging from 30 to 40 minutes depending on traffic.
The area features extensive access to the Arizona Trail, Colossal Cave Mountain Park, and various community parks within the Rancho del Lago and surrounding neighborhoods.
The rental market is characterized by high demand for single-family homes, with limited apartment inventory and stable rent growth.
The economy is largely driven by the education sector, retail, and services, with many residents commuting to major employers in the Tucson metropolitan area.
Transportation is heavily dependent on private vehicles, with I-10 serving as the primary artery connecting the area to the broader region.
Development is focused on residential growth and supporting commercial infrastructure along the I-10 corridor.
Pima County Assessor manages property valuations based on market-based mass appraisal techniques.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including the Vail Unified School District and local fire district levies.
Property insurance premiums are influenced by regional wildfire and monsoon-related hazard exposure.
Data retrieved from Census Reporter and ACS 5-year estimates.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Pima County Fairgrounds4.310.8 mi
- Tucson Dragway4.610.1 mi
- Forty Niner4.320 mi
- Saguaro Buttes Weddings & Events4.713.4 mi
- Tucson Speedway4.610.9 mi
- Colossal Cave Mountain Park4.75.8 mi
- Charron Vineyards4.74.6 mi
- Ivan's Spot Dog Park4.612.9 mi
- Pima Air & Space Museum4.818.3 mi
- Mescal Movie Set4.810.7 mi
- Tucson Military Vehicle Museum4.718 mi
- 390th Memorial Museum4.918.4 mi
- Dorothy H. Finley Space Gallery4.818.4 mi
- Colossal Cave Mountain Park4.75.8 mi
- Gabe Zimmerman Trailhead4.73 mi
- Ivan's Spot Dog Park4.612.9 mi
- Fry's4.212.7 mi
- Safeway4.47.3 mi
- T.J. Maxx4.411.7 mi
- Ross Dress for Less4.311.7 mi
- Heirloom Farmers Market | Rincon Valley4.612 mi
- Tucson International Airport4.521.1 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
A historic park featuring cave tours and hiking trails.
A long-distance trail passing through the area, popular for hiking and mountain biking.
A prominent local golf course serving the Vail community.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.