LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+2.5%|Austin · TXMedian List$550K-1.0%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$225K-6.3%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$859K+3.4%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$430K-0.1%|Chicago · ILMedian List$426K+9.3%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.6%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$449K-0.1%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$569K+1.6%|Detroit · MIMedian List$105K-2.8%|Duval County · FLMedian List$297K-2.3%|El Paso · TXMedian List$260K+3.7%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$332K-2.1%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$320K+3.2%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$340K+0.6%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$260K+2.3%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$309K-2.1%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$240K+4.3%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$440K-1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$950K-0.5%|Louisville · KYMedian List$275K0.0%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$202K+2.5%|Mesa · AZMedian List$450K-3.1%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$243K+5.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$480K+1.0%|New York · NYMedian List$899K+0.5%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.6%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$249K+0.3%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$480K0.0%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$640K-6.0%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$236K-1.2%|San Diego · CAMedian List$994K+4.2%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.4M+1.7%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.3M-11.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$874K-2.8%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$259K-2.4%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+2.5%|Austin · TXMedian List$550K-1.0%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$225K-6.3%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$859K+3.4%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$430K-0.1%|Chicago · ILMedian List$426K+9.3%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.6%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$449K-0.1%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$569K+1.6%|Detroit · MIMedian List$105K-2.8%|Duval County · FLMedian List$297K-2.3%|El Paso · TXMedian List$260K+3.7%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$332K-2.1%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$320K+3.2%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$340K+0.6%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$260K+2.3%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$309K-2.1%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$240K+4.3%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$440K-1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$950K-0.5%|Louisville · KYMedian List$275K0.0%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$202K+2.5%|Mesa · AZMedian List$450K-3.1%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$243K+5.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$480K+1.0%|New York · NYMedian List$899K+0.5%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.6%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$249K+0.3%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$480K0.0%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$640K-6.0%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$236K-1.2%|San Diego · CAMedian List$994K+4.2%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.4M+1.7%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.3M-11.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$874K-2.8%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$259K-2.4%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|
Property-class scope

The story of this market

The typical home in ZIP 33811 sells for about $344,250, or $189 per square foot.

Prices are down 10.53% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 67 days to sell, which is slow. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,361 a month.

ZIP market report · consumer edition · quarterly refresh
Track this ZIP

ZIP 33811 — Lakeland

Polk County →Lakeland marketrefreshed Sep 21, 2026next refresh Oct 21, 2026
Market mood · cautiously optimistic

The 33811 housing market is currently experiencing a period of price correction, with median prices softening year-over-year as inventory levels rise. While demand remains present, buyers are increasingly price-sensitive, leading to longer days on market and a higher share of price reductions. The market is transitioning toward a more balanced state, favoring those who can navigate the current pricing adjustments.

Who this ZIP fits

This ZIP is well-suited for families and commuters who value a central location between major Florida metros. It appeals to those seeking newer construction in gated communities and a suburban lifestyle with access to regional employment hubs.

Parent geography
Aerial view · ZIP boundaries2020 Census ZCTA boundary over current aerial imagery
Leaflet Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics
Land area · 69.7 km²Water area · 0.6 km²U.S. Census Bureau TIGERweb — 2020 Census ZCTA5 boundary
Median sale price
$344,250
-10.53% year over year
Corroborated · 1 anchor · 0% off nearest
Days on market
67 days
Active listings
315
Listings with price cuts
22%
share of active listings
Sale-to-list ratio
98.5%
of asking price
ZIP Market ScoreZIP-SCORE-1.3 · 4/4 sections graded
53
Composite · average of graded sections
Computed only from this report's published readings — sections without data are excluded, never estimated.
0
Growth/100

Median prices moved down 10.5% year over year.

54
Liquidity/100

Homes spend a median of 67 days on market with 4.8 months of supply — a balanced-paced market.

67
Momentum/100

22% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98.5% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.

89
Safety & stability/100

no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 4.0% · poverty 7.5% — a stable, low-distress profile.

Median price · ten-year history

Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$105,000$210,000$315,000$420,000$525,000

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 8.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Property tax · ten-year history

Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$1,200$1,500$1,800$2,100$2,400

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 4.4%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Census trends · population flowsACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Population change
+2.1%

versus the prior ACS vintage

Net migration
+450 people

net influx — more people moved in than out

Population base
29,472

ZCTA 33811, Polk County FL

Area context
Crime & safety

Crime in the Lakeland area is generally consistent with regional averages for mid-sized Florida cities, with property crime being the primary concern. Local law enforcement maintains active community outreach programs to address neighborhood safety.

Schools & education

Schools serving the 33811 area are part of the Polk County Public Schools district, which offers a mix of traditional public schools and magnet programs. Performance ratings vary by individual campus, with several schools maintaining solid academic standing.

Environmental & hazard

The area is subject to standard Florida climate risks, including potential for heavy rainfall and tropical storm activity. Flood insurance is recommended for properties in low-lying zones, and building codes are strictly enforced to mitigate wind damage.

Growth & development

Lakeland serves as a major logistics and distribution hub due to its central location between Tampa and Orlando. Significant development continues in the industrial and residential sectors, supported by major employers in healthcare, education, and retail.

Taxation

Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Florida) — Statewide Uniform Property Tax Lien Priority & Tax Deed Sale Enforcement: Unpaid real ad valorem and non-ad valorem taxes become a first-priority sovereign lien on January 1 of the tax year, superior to all mortgages and private liens. If unpaid by April 1 following the tax year, tax certificates are sold via competitive bidding under § 197.432. State (Florida) — Community Development District (CDD) Special Assessment & Financing Lien Mandate: Binds the parcel to non-ad valorem assessments levied directly by the CDD board to fund infrastructure bonds (capital assessments) and operations/maintenance (O&M assessments). State (Florida) — Florida Constitutional Homestead Exemption & Save Our Homes (SOH) Assessment Cap: Reduces taxable value by up to $50,000: base $25,000 exemption applies to all taxing authorities (including school districts); second $25,000 exemption applies to assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 for non-school millage. State (Florida) — Florida Ad Valorem Real Property Assessment & Tax Mechanics: Parcels are assessed annually at 100% just value (market value) as of January 1 by county property appraisers. Tax formula: Tax Bill = (Taxable Value / 1,000) * Total Levied Millage Rate. Assessed Value = Just Value - Assessment Limitations.

Transportation & commute

Residents primarily rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with easy access to the Polk Parkway and I-4 providing connections to Tampa and Orlando employment centers. Public transit options are limited, making the area car-dependent.

Recreation & amenities

The area features proximity to several local parks, walking trails, and community lakes typical of the Lakeland landscape. Shopping and dining options are concentrated along major corridors like US-98 and nearby retail centers.

Rental market

The rental market is characterized by moderate demand, with a mix of single-family home rentals and apartment complexes. Vacancy rates remain stable, though rent growth has cooled compared to the rapid increases seen in previous years.

Economy & employers

The local economy is anchored by logistics, healthcare, and education, with major employers including Publix Super Markets and Lakeland Regional Health. The area benefits from its strategic position in the I-4 corridor.

Transportation & infrastructure

Transportation is dominated by highway access via the Polk Parkway and I-4. Infrastructure improvements are focused on managing traffic flow between Lakeland and the surrounding metropolitan areas.

Development pipeline

Development is focused on infill residential projects and the expansion of commercial services to support the growing population in the southern part of the city.

County appraisal district

The Polk County Property Appraiser manages assessments, ensuring compliance with state-mandated valuation standards and property tax exemptions.

Special districts

Parcels may be subject to special assessments for community development districts (CDDs) which fund infrastructure in newer residential developments.

Insurance & hazard market

Property insurance premiums in the region have seen upward pressure due to statewide market conditions and hazard exposure, necessitating careful policy shopping.

Migration & population flows

Florida continues to experience strong net domestic migration, with many new residents moving to Polk County for affordability and central location.

Foreclosure doctrine

Florida is a judicial foreclosure state, requiring court intervention for the foreclosure process, which typically provides a longer timeline for homeowners.

Disclosure doctrine

Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive disclosure statement regarding the condition of the property, including known defects and material facts.

Discovery profileACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Census profile · ZCTA 33811, Polk County FL
Population
29,472
Median age
36.1 yrs
Owner-occupancy
70%
Median home value
$315,000
Median gross rent
$1,850
Median household income
$78,500
Median year built
1998
Vacancy rate
5.5%
Renter share
30%
Owner cost burden
22%
Renter cost burden
45%
Population change
+2.1%
Net migration
450
Work-from-home share
15%
Mean commute
28.5 min
Bachelor's or higher
32%
Unemployment
4%
Poverty rate
7.5%
Avg household size
2.7
White
65%
Hispanic
18%
Black
10%
Other
7%

Data retrieved from data.census.gov ZCTA-level tables.

Public schools with an address here · 2

Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.

George W. Jenkins High SchoolHighBPolk County Public SchoolsHighly regarded local high school.
Scott Lake ElementaryElementaryAPolk County Public SchoolsStrong academic performance.
School districts
Polk County Public SchoolsBLarge district serving the entire county with diverse school options.
Utilities & services
ElectricLakeland ElectricMunicipal provider.
Water/SewerCity of LakelandMunicipal services.
InternetSpectrum/FrontierBroadband availability varies by street.
Major employers & industries
Publix Super MarketsRetail/LogisticsCorporate headquarters and major regional employer.
Lakeland Regional HealthHealthcareMajor regional medical center.
Major amenities · ZIP 33811
Theme, amusement & water parks
17 · 20 mi
Entertainment venues, stadiums & amphitheaters
16 · 20 mi
Family fun & things to do
20+ · 13 mi
Parks, trails & nature
20+ · 13 mi

Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.

Amenities & attractions3 retained amenities · 1 development on the horizon
Inside this ZIP
Loyce E. Harpe Park
Park

Large community park with sports fields and trails.

Lakeland Square Mall
Shopping

Major regional shopping destination nearby.

Grasslands Golf & Country Club
Golf

Private golf course and social club.

On the horizon · announced & under construction
South Lakeland Residential ExpansionResidentialUnder ConstructionOngoing development of new single-family home subdivisions.
Sources · 5 cited

No county-record distress flags across 1 researched property on the ARED base layer. Key-figure check: median price diverges 60.7% from the nearest retained anchor (researched-property base layer) — beyond the 12.5% tolerance; an automated validation case is open and the value publishes pending its verdict. Validation: confirmed genuine market swing — the flagged $344,250 was independently re-read and corroborated by 2 source(s); it stands as the new anchor baseline.